Book chapter on the anticipation of natural hazards
How do temporal expectations shape personal and collective experiences and influence our perspectives and responses in the realm of catastrophe and disaster risk management?
Our colleagues Monika G. Bartoszewicz and Reidar Staupe (UiT) have collected ten essays exploring this topic in their recently published book A Time of Disastrous Anticipations. Essays on life in the shadow of catastrophe. The book includes a chapter on understanding natural hazards through the lens of instrumental realism, by our phd student Leikny Bakke Lie together with Reidar Staupe.
(Disclaimer - review written by AI): In this compelling chapter, Bakke Lie and Staupe offer a fresh and thought-provoking lens for understanding natural hazards—one that goes beyond conventional technical risk assessments. Drawing on the philosophy of technology and the concept of instrumental realism, they illuminate how our knowledge of hazards is fundamentally shaped by the instruments and technologies we use to perceive, measure, and predict them.
Through vivid vignettes from Norway’s dramatic fjord landscapes—such as the notorious Åknes rockslide and the devastating Tafjord tsunami of 1934—the authors explore how local communities experience risk not only as a statistical likelihood but as an embodied and lived reality. They delve into the different relationships people form with technology—embodied, alterity, and transcendental—to show how tools like early warning systems or monitoring devices mediate our engagement with threats we cannot perceive directly.
Crucially, the chapter challenges readers to consider whose knowledge counts in risk governance. While expert-driven models dominate, Bakke Lie and Staupe argue for a more inclusive approach that values local understanding, everyday experience, and the affective dimensions of living with risk. In doing so, they advocate for a more democratic and reflective disaster management regime that recognizes the socio-technical complexity of anticipating natural hazards.
This chapter is essential reading for anyone interested in disaster studies, environmental governance, science and technology studies, and the human dimensions of climate risk. It offers a powerful call to rethink how we know, manage, and live with natural hazards in a world of growing uncertainty.
Bakke Lie, L., & Staupe, R. (2025). Ch. 10: Understanding natural hazard phenomena and risks from the perspective of ‘instrumental realism’: Examples from Geiranger and Lyngen, Norway. In: A Time of Disastrous Anticipations. Essays on life in the shadow of catastrophe. Staupe, R. & Bartoszewicz, M. G. (Eds). Routledge.

Published: 24.06.2025
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