Can the fish in the ocean handle marine heatwaves?

Long periods of unusually warm ocean temperatures, known as marine heatwaves, can have devastating effects on marine ecosystems and have been linked to widespread coral bleaching, harmful algal blooms and abrupt declines in commercially important fish species.

However, a new study has found that marine heat waves have generally not had lasting effects on the fish communities that support many of the world's largest and most productive fisheries.

The research was recently published in the scientific journal Nature.

“As of now, we see no effects of marine heatwaves on the fish communities. But we know that fish communities are affected by temperature, heatwaves could still affect fish in the future,” says one of the researchers behind the study Laurene Pecuchet, associate professor at UiT The Arctic University of Norway.

female researcher with glasses — Associate Professor Laurene Pecuchet, Norwegian College of Fisheries Science at UiT Norway's Arctic University. Foto: JAKOB BJØRVIG HENRIKSEN/UIT

248 marine heat waves

The researchers have used data from long-term scientific trawl surveys on the continental shelf in North America and Europe from 1993 to 2019. The analysis included 248 marine heatwaves with extreme sea bottom temperatures during this period.

The trawl surveys were carried out by towing a net above the seafloor, to look at the amount of bottom-dwelling species that include commercially important fish species such as flounder, pollock, haddock, redfish and halibut. Around 82,000 different trawls are included in the study with over 1,700 different fish species from both the Pacific and Atlantic oceans.

The researchers looked for effects on fish biomass and composition of species in the fish community the year after a marine heat wave. To their surprise, they found no evidence that marine heat waves generally have major effects on regional fish communities.

“There is an emerging sense that the oceans have some resilience, and while they are changing in response to climate change, we don’t see evidence that marine heatwaves are wiping out fisheries,” says Alexa Fredston, lead author.

She is an associate professor at the University of California at Santa Cruz.

Although declines in biomass did occur after some marine heatwaves, the researchers found that these cases were the exception, not the rule. Overall, they found that the effects of marine heatwaves are not distinguishable from the natural variability in these ecosystems.

fish being sorted — The researchers have analyzed fish from scientific trawl surveys carried out between 1993 and 2019 in the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans. 82,000 different trawls are included in the study with 1,769 different fish species. Foto: ANDRE FRAINER/UIT

Finds hiding places

Laurene Pecuchet says that this is the first study on heatwaves in the ocean that has studied the effect on fish species that live far out at sea.

“Fish move and they can find hiding places where the water can be a little colder,” says Pecuchet.

She explains that in coastal areas it can be worse. There are species that do not move, such as kelp and coral, but also fish that live more in one location for most of the year. These areas and these species are more affected by such temperature changes.

“Cod that migrate (called skrei in Norway) may not be as affected by heatwaves. While coastal cod may be more affected because they do not migrate as much,” says Pecuchet.

She emphasizes that this has not been studied much yet.

Tropical sea

In addition to assessing the impact on biomass, the researchers looked at whether marine heatwaves caused changes in the composition of fish communities. For instance, it can lead to a loss of species associated with cold water and an increase in species associated with warm water. The researchers call this phenomenon tropicalization.

“Tropicalization has been associated with long-term warming of the oceans, but we saw no signs that this is the case with marine heatwaves,” Pecuchet says.

The researchers defined marine heatwaves as periods of more than five days of extreme sea bottom temperatures for that region and time of year. By extracting the effects of long-term ocean warming trends, they were able to distinguish episodes of extreme warming on top of the long-term trends.

“The findings suggest that fish may be able to find safe harbors by moving to areas with cooler water during these extreme events,” says the marine biologist.

Climate change in the ocean

Pecuchet says that the North Atlantic this year was the warmest ever recorded, and that this summer is not included in the data the researchers used in this study.

In the so-called Paris Agreement, the countries have set a goal that we must work together to ensure that the average global temperature is not increased by more than 1.5 degrees.

“If anything, this study shows the importance of staying below 1.5 degrees. Today we are about 1 degree warmer than pre-industrial levels, and it seems that the fish are dealing with the effects of the heatwaves at the present time. But we do not know what the effect will be if the temperature continues to rise. As long as we stay below a 1.5-degree increase, there is still hope, but that means reducing emissions drastically,” concludes Pecuchet.

Link to the research article: A.L. Fredston mfl.: Marine heat waves are not a dominant driver of change in demersal fishes. Nature. Vol. 620, 2023.

Bludd, Ellen Kathrine ellen.kathrine.bludd@uit.no Kommunikasjonsrådgiver

Published: 20.10.23 11:00 Updated: 20.10.23 11:23

Ocean Climate Natural Sciences